Sunday, September 25, 2005

Breaking News
2005.02.20 1:47

America won't attack Iran.
Although still he suggests having a possibility of using forces, that's because we cannot expect him to say never, by and large it would be OK for us to believe that the use of force over Iran is away.
Let's think about the reasons for not using forces here. ...First of all, Iran is relatively large, (5 times larger than Iraq, 3 times larger than Afganistan ) so anyway it needs determination to deal with it in case of using force. America has fought and won two wars already and of course spent a lot. It's not a right time for America to deal with it directly in America's hand at least for the moment...That's why America's European friends are in the issue.
Second point is 'oil in Iran'. Iran's oil fields are mainly in the Gulf where American Major is at its disposal, so there's no direct benefit for America to occupy that vast land.
Third point is 'oil in Baku' or rather from the shadow of Russia. Because of the Caspean oil fields, Russia wants to hold tight grip on that region, if America invaded Iran, America would come near to look into Russia's exclusive economic zone. Putin's assertion -Iran not seeking for nukes one day before this breaking news endorses rather Russia's anxiety toward America's next movement.
The fourth point is as is always the same as other cases, go back to history long ago. I've been writing two times before, if you are a careful reader of the Old Testament, you can find lots of answers to solve the recent movement of America very well.

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